NFL
Tennessee Titans – OVER 8.5 WINS (-135)
The Titans won nine games last year, but could have won 11 if QB Marcus Mariota didn’t break his leg and miss the last two games. Now, after making significant off-season improvements, Tennessee will compete for a division title this season. Running backs DeMarcus Murray and Derrick Henry are an outstanding tandem and run behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. First round draft pick Corey Davis, will contribute immediately and give Mariota a solid deep threat while the defense added nose tackle Sylvester Williams and defensive back Logan Ryan to what was already a solid defense. We see a 10-win season. Go over!
Philadelphia Eagles – OVER 8 WINS (-135)
The Eagles were 7-9 last year but six of their nine losses were by a TD or less. They could have easily won nine games in 2016 and this year will be more experienced particularly at QB where Carson Wentz will be much improved in his second pro season. They also had more games lost to injuries by starters than any team in the NFL. Philadelphia added several veterans on both sides of the ball and with improved QB play, a better closing percentage in close games, and less injuries, getting to nine wins is a solid bet.
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COLORADO – Under 7 Wins (-130)
We always love to fade a team the year after a surprising, successful season and that’s certainly the case here with the Buffaloes, who went 10-4 last year after winning a total of 11 games in the previous four seasons. We saw what happened late in the year when they stepped up in class, losing 41-10 to Washington in the Pac-12 Championship Game and 38-8 to Oklahoma State in the Alamo Bowl. Even though it will likely start the season 3-0, we don’t see how Colorado gets up and over seven wins. They return just three starters on defense and the secondary is depleted. That’s bad news when playing in the pass-happy Pac 12. We see the Buffs with five wins, at most, as they head into a final three-game stretch that features road games at Arizona State and Utah, sandwiched between a home game against USC. That means they would have to sweep those three games for us to lose and we don’t see that happening. Go under.
STANFORD – Over 8.5 wins (-140)
With the rise of Washington and USC as legit national title contenders, Stanford has been lost in the shuffle and is underrated heading into this season. Remember, this is a team that has failed to win nine games or more just once in the last eight years. They return eight starters on each side of the ball and in the 12 games on the schedule, they will be underdogs once for sure (in Week 2 at USC) and maybe just twice all year (we have their home game on Nov. 10 vs. Washington as a pick’em right now). In the other 10 games, we have them favored by an average of 11.6 points per game! This is a veteran team with a returning QB, one of the best offensive lines in the conference and a stout defense, so getting to nine wins will not be a problem.
NEBRASKA – Under 7 wins (-125)
Not a lot of “gimmees” on the schedule this year for the Huskers so climbing that seven to eight-win plateau seems highly unlikely, especially with a team breaking in a new QB and just four starters returning on offense. The conference schedule is not kind, as they have road games at Penn State and at Minnesota (they will be underdogs in both games) and home games against Ohio State, Wisconsin and a much-improved Northwestern team. Toss in a tough away game against Oregon in Week 2, another team that is primed for a bounce-back season, and you can see why we have our doubts.