BY HARRY BONDI
During my 36-year career as a sports betting handicapper, some of my easiest wins have come with future bets. Why? Because a sharp and disciplined handicapper can project a team’s success and/or failures even better than Las Vegas.
As a result, when the season over/under win totals are posted, there are bound to be “mistakes.”
That was the case once again in 2021 when the Major League Baseball future numbers were posted as we went 5-1 (83%) last season. This year, we have six more MLB Season Over/Under Best Bets. Three are included below. To receive the other 3 Best Bets and WIN BIG this baseball season, join the Baseball “Steam Team” and take advantage of our early bird seasonal rates.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Over 90.5 Wins (-105)
The Brew Crew won 95 games a year ago before losing to Atlanta in the playoffs. The Brewers have an outstanding pitching staff led by Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, Freddy Peralta and Adrian Houser. They had the second best ERA in baseball last season. What’s more, the Brewers closer Josh Hader is one of the best in baseball.
In addition, Milwaukee added home run power in Andrew McCutcheon and Hunter Renfro, who hit 31 dingers a year ago. What could make this an easy over is the rest of the National League Central. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh are rebuilding. The Cubs are pretending they want to be contenders but don’t have the personnel. Milwaukee should easily repeat as NL Central champs and win over 91 games.
St. Louis Cardinals
Under 84.5 Wins (-110)
The Cardinals were below .500 team for most of last season before winning 17 straight games in September and sneaking into the playoffs. Everything broke right for St Louis last year. They were just +34 in run differential last year and were +12 in games decided by one run or in extra innings. They can’t get that lucky two years in a row.
In addition, aging stars Albert Pujols, Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright are all on the downside of their careers. They do have two of baseball’s best players in Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt, but if one of them gets hurt, their lineup would be one of the weakest in the National League. Their pitching staff and bullpen are average. The Cardinals are one of baseball’s most successful franchises over the last decade but not this year. Go Under!
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Oakland A’s
Under 70.5 Wins (-135)
The A’s went 18-26 in their last 44 games last season. Then, in the offseason, they blew the team up by trading Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. It is a matter of time before Sean Manaea and others join that trio as former members of the A’s.
Oakland is definitely ticketed for the bottom of the AL West. The rest of the division has gotten stronger and a lot has to go right with unproven players for the A’s to get over their projected win total.